Global Trading

global head of connectivity, SunGard’s global trading business

Come Trade with Me

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A version of this blog post was originally published by the Financial Times.

Recently, I traveled to Madrid. I booked a flight on British Airways and found myself flying… Iberia. Of course these days these two “national carriers” are part of the same company, listed primarily on the London Stock Exchange and Bolsa y Mercados Espanoles, the Madrid exchange.

The Madrid and London stock exchanges are both over 150 years old and fiercely independent. They used to be among scores of independent stock exchanges around the world, all existing to serve their local markets with listings of companies from their country or local area. But increasingly independence is the exception, not the norm, for stock markets.

Like airlines, when countries from Austria to Zimbabwe took pride in having “national carriers,” having your own stock market was a calling card for a nation, even a region. Just as the economics of airlines have prompted alliances no-one could have conceived of – Air France KLM, for example – the economics of stock markets are increasingly leading to a shake-out of the industry.

And just like with airlines, the traditional players are being challenged by low cost entrants who are shaking up the perceived business model by stripping it back to the basics of what traders want from a market. For every Easyjet or SouthWest Airlines, there are multilateral trading facilities (MTFs) such as BATS-Chi X or hungry new entrants, like the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE).

Hardly a week goes by without another deal or alliance being struck among exchanges. The partnerships change all the time creating the most unlikely bedfellows. But in reality all they are doing is following the money.

We are often told that we live in a global world. What happens in Sao Paulo can move markets in Shanghai. This means that traders can be in any location they choose – and these choices are dictated by the availability of skilled labor, the nature of the tax regime, regulations and probably where hedge fund managers want to send their kids to school. From that location they want to trade in any security anywhere in the world. Their choice of market is not predicated on any national loyalty – they will go where there is the best opportunity, the most liquidity, the lowest costs and the least hassle.

As a result you have seen an increasing flow of companies listing on stock markets outside their home territory – from Israeli technology companies on NASDAQ to Kazakh miners on the LSE and Manchester United, an English football club with a Scottish manager, listing in New York where “soccer” is at best a minority sport. Even when a company has its primary listing in its home country, you will often find that the investor community and the majority of trading happen in other places.

Like airlines, national exchanges have had to adapt from being near monopolies in their home markets to being relatively small players in an increasingly global marketplace. They have had to invest in systems and infrastructure to compete and yet still see a large amount of their business being taken by rivals. Against this background it is not surprising that they want to huddle together or face being picked off by global consolidators, worse- altogether forgotten and obsolete.

Over the last few years we have seen multiple alliances in other parts of the world come to fruition. Euronext in Western Europe should regain some autonomy following from the very likely takeover of its parent company by ICE, while NASDAQ OMX in the Nordics, ASEAN in South East Asia, CEESEG in Central & Eastern Europe, and MILA in Latin America have all emerged as important trading blocks, each operating with a subtly different market model.

A fresh crop of new entrants are emerging who reflect the financial strength of markets previously not considered to be worthy of consideration. Moscow shows how, with government backing and strong momentum, a fragmented market can be consolidated to create a credible emerging financial center, fighting for Russian stocks listings that previously would have gone to London or New York. Both the Warsaw and Istanbul exchanges are emerging with similar ambitions.

Where will it end? I can see a few major groupings of markets emerging over time. It is hard to see more than two or three exchange groups in Europe.  The lessons from the airline industry are there to see.

When Every Penny Counts, Firms Must Operate Smarter Through Deeper Data Analysis

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The full version of this blog post originally appeared in Wall Street & Technology. It also appeared on Bank Systems & Technology.

Today’s economic environment has become increasingly difficult, forcing executives and managers to analyze expenditures and business practices with more scrutiny in an effort to remain profitable.

In addition to the expense of creating and maintaining an effective cost identification and management solution, broker-dealers are faced with the issue of the integrity of its results. Most financial services firms today are engaged in multiple businesses across global markets and with a magnitude of clients and business partners. Each new profit conduit is also an opportunity to add expense.

In order to identify profitability and cost savings, firms must manage large and disparate data sets housing transaction details, market timing and circumstances, and relationship details. The task of collecting, mapping and then parsing multiple data sources for accuracy is a big challenge. Even if a company has the ability to manage the data sets, there is a level of sophistication and depth that few market participants have achieved to date.

It is becoming increasingly important for firms to have access to a solution that can deliver a complete overview of costs via an integrated model across accounting and the front office. It should allow for a deep dive into disparate data sets to better handle alpha and cost attribution, and help improve trading decisions based on real-time analytics and granular data. This system should also then deliver the right information to buy-side clients to efficiently measure performance.

With the right access to and view of cost-related data, firms can give themselves a competitive advantage and operate smarter in today’s difficult markets where every penny counts.

While you’re here…

product manager, Valdi, SunGard's capital markets business

Limit Up-Limit Down: Where’s the Limit?

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This blog post originally appeared on Advanced Trading and in the John Lothian Newsletter.

On April 8, 2013, the new Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) rule Limit Up-Limit Down, aka Rule 608, will go into effect in the attempt to lessen volatility in the equities market. Limit Up-Limit Down was passed on May 31, 2012 to “address extraordinary market volatility market wide.”  At the time of the ruling, the Single Stock Circuit Breaker rule was in place to address market volatility, but was not consistent across the market. Limit Up-Limit Down will eventually replace the Single Stock Circuit Breaker in its entirety as it is rolled out in two phases over 2013 with the complete roll-out expected to be complete by September 2013.

To understand why this new rule has come about, one needs look no further than the events of May 6, 2010, known as the “Flash Crash.” During the Flash Crash, the market nose-dived at record rates in a very short time; within only 20 minutes, the market had dropped nearly 1000 points.  Almost as fast, the market gained back nearly 600 points.  This type of incident is ripe for conjecture and philanthropic thought about how to stop another Flash Crash event from taking place again.  Unfortunately, the ‘why’ is generally overlooked, as seems to be the case again today, where once again firms are sent scurrying to comply with a new regulation.

As technology has advanced, the markets have relied more and more on electronic trading, which coincidentally has led to some of the most significant market events in recent times.  This has put an unnecessary burden on a vast majority of firms, who, in an already fragmented market with withering profit margins, now must spend more on compliance.  The costs of running a business are becoming astronomical and firms are feeling that burden.

Now it seems obvious that the Flash Crash and similar instances before and after were accelerated by high-frequency trading (HFT) and rogue algorithms. High-frequency traders profit from the smallest arbitrage opportunities available. These arbitrage opportunities cannot be spotted quickly enough by humans, so these traders rely on technology, co-location hardware, and high-tech algorithms to find, analyze, and react to the information with little to no human interaction. There’s little regulation in place for monitoring and reacting to rogue algorithms today. This all begs the question: why has the SEC chosen to develop a rule that doesn’t necessarily address the root of potential market volatility issues?

What will happen as HFT firms migrate to other asset classes and instruments where the Limit Up-Limit Down Rule does not exist?

With the advent of this new Limit Up-Limit Down rule, the onus is on broker-dealers to have a system in place that will not allow executions to occur outside the set price bands nor quote outside the price bands, and will monitor for executions that might occur during a halt after a limit state has been enacted for more than 15 seconds.  Broker-dealers will also need to have access to this market data to truly understand the price band movements and how this may impact their resting limit orders.

In the end, it feels like this rule is a blanket oversight that fails to tackle the real issue around extraordinary market volatility, the rise of high frequency trading and rogue algorithms. When it comes to Limit Up-Limit Down, when will the regulators realize their limits?

global head of connectivity, SunGard’s global trading business

Back to the Future

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This blog post was originally published on DerivSource.

The news that NASDAQ OMX is investing into Dutch alternative venue TOM MTF proves once again how much the European trading landscape has changed recently, with the focus increasingly shifting from equities to derivatives, given the paucity of trading volumes in equities and unsustainability of a lot of the venues that appeared on the scene after MiFID.

TOM MTF, short for The Order Machine, counts the largest Dutch institutions as shareholders (Optiver, Binck Bank, ABN, IMC) and has been working largely under the radar for a little while, first launching an equities MTF with a lit order book specialized on Dutch stock. Then followed, after a long and protracted battle; the launch of the relatively novel idea of a competing MTF listing and trading single stock equity options on Dutch stocks, which put in direct competition with NYSE Liffe Europe’s Amsterdam business.

With strong backing in the Dutch financial community and a market quite used to trading derivatives, TOM MTF is one of the very few trading venues to have chosen derivatives as their main focus, introducing competition in an area typically considered a duopoly in Europe between NYSE Liffe Europe and EUREX. With a market share around 15% in equities options for a trading platform launched little more than a year ago and with the usual difficulties with regards to clearing and settlement that have affected other alternative venues in Europe, such as Turquoise Derivatives, they are today one of the few credible derivatives alternative market – albeit operating on a small niche.

NASDAQ seems determined to get back into the thick of it in Europe, after the unfortunate experience of NASDAQ OMX Europe (remember them?), one of the first pan-European MTFs which failed to garner enough traction against Chi-X, Turquoise and BATS, and ultimately closed a few years’ back. The combined launch of NASDAQ NLX, competing in the rates business with the exchanges mentioned above, and now with the possibility to spread the battle to the listed equity options world through the TOM MTF “franchise” is definitely an interesting combination, showing the strength of the trading platform operator.

Interestingly, NASDAQ OMX through the TOM MTF investment has also acquired the opportunity to go back to equities trading competition, as the Nordics equities landscape increasingly fragments, no longer being a “chasse gardée.” We may be closer to seeing Europe finally turning into a single market, no longer a series of individual markets linked through technology. It may also be that we will see new life breathed into some of the market consolidation brutally curtailed by the successive failures of the LSE/TMX and Deutsche Boerse/NYSE Liffe Europe tie-ups.

Many of the current alternative venues are not viable, and the larger operators need to prove to their shareholders they have a strategy, and one that works: diversifying, buying market share or integrating new ideas could very well be the way forward.

While you’re here…

trading and client connectivity, SunGard’s global trading business

European Equity Trading: Research and Regulation Collide

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This blog post originally appeared on TabbFORUM.

Tabb Group’s new report, “European Equity Trading 2012/2013: Changing the Rules of Engagement,” highlights some issues that we must hope politicians will note during their review of the MiFID regulations.

It’s no exaggeration to say that Tabb’s research profiles an equity market in crisis ─ arguably one that is dysfunctional in some important respects. “Lit book” trading volumes have again fallen sharply in 2012, and there has not been a correspondingly large increase in dark pool trading. So the predicament, as it appears to most buy-side firms, is one of vanishing liquidity. And the buy-side’s primary concern – as reported to Tabb – is how and where to find what liquidity is left.

There are worrying signs of a self-reinforcing downward spiral, so one objective of regulatory change should be to stop or even reverse this trend. Good liquidity, after all, usually implies tight price spreads and the best results for end investors – the people whose interests the MiFID regulations are intended to serve.

The market fragmentation unleashed in 2007 hasn’t helped in this respect, as it has spread the thin post-crisis trading across an increasing number of platforms. In the absence of a consolidated tape of traded prices, fragmentation has also posed another challenge to the buy side: a serious lack of market transparency. This, at least, looks likely to be rectified with MiFID II.

But can MiFID II help with the liquidity crisis?

At the moment, it does not look likely. Even if we put aside the threat of a minimum resting time for orders ─ which may not appear in the final regulation ─ MiFID II has worrying implications for liquidity. A central finding in the new Tabb research is that block trading is in decline, with traders instead choosing to slice large orders via algorithms and then trade many of those small slices in dark pools. It’s clear that asset managers are increasingly finding this the safest and most efficient way of implementing buy and sell decisions in major portfolio adjustments.

But the broker crossing networks and dark multilateral trading facilities (MTFs) that support this mode of trading will not be allowed to do so after the implementation of MiFID II as it’s currently drafted – MTFs and “systematic internalisers” will have pre-trade transparency waivers only for “large in size” orders. So, who knows where those fugitive smaller orders will get executed? When we consider this factor alongside the constraints on market-making activity implied by the MiFID II drafts, it seems clear there is potential for a further downturn in liquidity.

Elsewhere in the Tabb Group report, it’s positive to see the increasing focus on execution quality and the rising usage of transaction cost analysis (TCA) in measuring it – often with multiple systems now being used for cross-checking. But the liquidity concern remains: if new regulation causes further volume reductions, then the market impact of larger orders will grow and those detailed TCA reports could make for depressing reading.

So let’s hope that MiFID’s apparent mantra of “transparency at all costs” is moderated, before the costs become too high.

global head of connectivity, SunGard’s global trading business

2 + 2 = 5: The Value of Exchange Alliances

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A version of this article originally appeared in The National.

Last month, the Stock Exchange of Thailand joined the ASEAN Trading Link, an alliance comprising three exchanges from across southeast Asia. Russian exchanges Micex and RTS completed their tie-up in December 2011 to form the Moscow Exchange. More recently, the Tokyo Stock Exchange and Osaka Securities Exchange announced their imminent merger, expected to complete on 1 January 2013. These events have brought the debate regarding consolidating the Middle East’s own exchanges into sharper focus. Trading across multiple markets is commonplace across the globe, but this practice is yet to become a reality here. Why?

Although there have been major steps forward in terms of the technology used by Middle Eastern exchanges and the participant financial institutions, a perception of complexity remains around cross-border trading, deterring many people from even trying . The exchanges themselves remain relatively small, difficult to access, and subject to regulation at the national level. As a result, capital markets in the Middle East still remain largely underdeveloped relative to other regions.

Over the last few years we have seen multiple alliances in other parts of the world come to fruition. As well as ASEAN, there is Euronext in western Europe, CEESEG in central and eastern Europe, and MILA in Latin America. Furthermore, we’ve also witnessed various new MOUs and partnerships between exchanges worldwide.

The advantages of interconnectivity are clear: as well as creating more competition and greater foreign participation in these markets, consolidation offers a deeper pool of liquidity and greater appeal for companies looking at exchange listings as an alternative source of funding to bank credit lines or bond financing. In the case of MILA, it became obvious very quickly that 1 + 1 + 1 = 4. Linking the Chilean, Colombian and Peruvian exchanges created a large amount of goodwill because the sum of the constituents is greater than its parts. Investors, who previously might have shied away from spending the resources required to look at investing in one small market, will now make that investment if they can access multiple markets at once and with greater ease. That reality and ease of access also brings new sources of funds as well as growth opportunities to businesses and institutions within each member country.

Four conditions need to be met to get an exchange alliance to work effectively. The first is a political superstructure, which can develop in different ways. In the case of MILA and ASEAN, there was an existing structure created to facilitate and promote the interaction of the different countries. The ASEAN Stock Exchange linkage initiative, for example, leverages the ASEAN political alliance superstructure, whilst the Euronext and CEESEG alliances operate under the Single Market promoted by the European Union.

The Middle East already has such a superstructure with the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC), connecting the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, Oman, Qatar and Kuwait. This structure could bring exchanges closer together and promote the formal link-up of the different regional capital markets.

Even with a political structure, the second required element is a strong and persistent political will. In Europe, the European Union provided the structure and initial momentum, so when the Amsterdam, Brussels and Paris exchanges announced their plans to create Euronext, the idea resonated with both the political will and desire at that time. In any alliance, a larger player often takes the helm and may have to cajole the others past the finishing line, which works as long as these other participants can clearly see the benefits. As with a political alliance such as the GCC, each country may be in a different stage of development but must realize the combined interests in working together.

The next hurdle – and probably the biggest – is the different regulatory environments amongst Middle Eastern markets. This point was highlighted as one of the biggest concerns at SunGard’s Dubai City Day event earlier this year. But if you don’t start somewhere, the issues will never be addressed. A regional exchange alliance can create the momentum needed to kickstart that process, as was proved in the MILA and Euronext countries.

The final condition is use of the right technology. Although the Middle East region is large and therefore not without its infrastructure challenges, ASEAN provides some clues for overcoming them. It shows how to link these markets, demonstrating that you can build a network among exchanges without losing each player’s national identity, trading platform or connection to their individual investor communities, whilst at the same time leveraging each participant’s own strengths and creating a new, regional synergy.

Each country in the Middle East is trying to develop national industries and national psyches beyond oil extraction or mineral exploitation. A properly functioning capital market is a key piece of that development. I am certain we will see initiatives that will eventually create links between these markets. It is primarily a matter of developing the political will and then creating the momentum – the rest may just fall into place.

While you’re here…

director, business development, Asia-Pacific, SunGard’s capital markets business

Why DMA Makes Sense for Southeast Asia

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Direct Market Access (DMA) trading has become increasingly prevalent worldwide as more buy-side traders take advantage of available technology to execute their own orders. As many markets in Asia-Pacific are currently outpacing developed markets in terms of volumes, investment and overall growth, they are primed to take advantage of this new mode of international trading.

DMA is gaining ground because it offers a superhighway for algorithmic trading and facilitates transactions that are executed in milliseconds. DMA also brings down error rates and offers greater transparency in how orders are handled. This transparency allows better control of the final execution and the ability to exploit liquidity and price opportunities quickly.

DMA is well established in mature markets such as the U.S.; in its 2011 report “US Hedge Fund Equity Trading 2011: The Challenge is The Opportunity” market research firm Tabb Group found that 53 percent of participants route their DMA order flow to broker-dealers for algorithmic trading and potential use of crossing networks. European firms are also increasing their usage of DMA and algorithmic strategies.

While the adoption of DMA trading strategies grows, investors in U.S. and European markets are looking for opportunities in other parts of the world, with the Asia-Pacific region high on their list. In fact, Tabb Group found that one-third of U.S. hedge funds are looking to Asia-Pacific and 24 percent of European hedge funds see promise in the region.

DMA is paving the way for U.S. and European firms to access Asian trading venues cost-effectively, and all indications are that investors and firms in the Asia-Pacific region are following suit. The strong investment returns seen from Thailand, Indonesia and Malaysia over the last few years reflect the evolution of the Asian market structure. These three countries have outperformed major U.S. and European markets in recent years, and this continues to attract new attention.

In response, trading venues in Thailand, Indonesia and Malaysia have taken steps to build on their success via DMA.

  • In 2006, the Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET) gave the green light to DMA, and has followed it up with a succession of derivative contract launches. In 2011, SET officials reported a significant rise in electronic trading flow and that algorithmic trading had more than doubled over 2010.
  • Bursa Malaysia introduced DMA for derivatives in April 2008 and for equities in 2009. In 2011, there were more new local brokers offering DMA access in a variety of forms—a trend that has continued in 2012.
  • Indonesia took a major step forward in 2007 when the Surabaya Stock Exchange was merged into the Jakarta Stock Exchange, which then changed its name to the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX). By 2010, according to the World Federation of Exchanges, IDX was the fifth best performing stock exchange in the world, and by 2011 60 percent of all tradable shares via IDX were owned by international investors. In 2008, Credit Suisse became the first firm to offer DMA trading in Indonesia, and this year the Indonesian investment bank Mandiri Sekuritas has endorsed DMA.

Despite these strides, the Asian markets do have some hurdles ahead of them. Today, the region still suffers from a concentration on national exchanges; high frequency trading is limited by inadequate matching and latency; crossing systems are highly manual; algorithmic trading is still in its infancy and often hamstrung by market structure; and market entry is often hampered by incumbent brokerage members.

These conditions are expected to improve as more local brokers use DMA and other trading technologies to attract international clients. Over the next five years, some of the steps that will likely pave the way for greater use of DMA in the region are:

  • Exchanges with faster and greater capacity trading engines
  • Longer trading hours without lunch breaks
  • Faster execution times
  • Alternative execution platforms and smart order routing

Many broker-dealers in the region already think that DMA makes sense and that it’s likely to be a major contributor to their revenue streams. They see cross-border trading growing and more buy-side constituencies showing interest in international markets. The leading players are already developing strategies and taking action, so DMA access and flow is increasing at ever-faster rates. With so much growth in the Asia-Pacific region in the past few years, this is certainly an interesting area to watch.

While you’re here…

vice president, SunGard’s capital markets business

Only the Beginning for Exchange and Clearing Innovation

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This blog post originally appeared on FOW. It was also covered in the John Lothian Newsletter.

As global regulators move to implement new rules designed to control the swaps markets, the world’s futures exchanges are responding with bold and innovative structural changes intended to reduce or eliminate certain regulatory burdens faced by their customers, including increased trading costs and additional expenditures associated with alternative risk management processing methods.

As a basis for the change, the Dodd-Frank Act and the subsequent regulatory definition of a swap expressly exclude futures and options on futures. As a result, on October 15, the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) intends to convert an entire class of over-the-counter cleared swaps into listed futures. This change is meant to ameliorate some of the negative effects of the Dodd-Frank rule-based disparate treatment among swaps and futures, including higher margin costs. Through this action, the ICE effectively creates a hybrid instrument class that will trade, margin and clear as futures, yet concurrently adhere to the enhanced segregation and protection rules under the new swaps regime.

The new segregation rules, which generally apply to swaps pursuant to Section 4d of the Commodity Exchange Act, impose enhanced requirements onto brokers to segregate their customers’ funds to protect against fellow-customer risk that is inherent in the futures clearing model. The ICE has effectively answered this regulatory burden by modifying its rulebook and implementing structural efficiencies through the identification of a hybrid instrument class known as “covered product.” The ICE is contemplating a covered product that is functionally equivalent to a future/option and simultaneously receives the segregation benefits attributable to swaps. The introduction of the covered product also alleviates customers’ increased trading costs that are a likely result from the newly imposed gross margin rule.

Because the ICE as a designated contract market (DCM) may self-certify its contracts as futures, at first glance the transition to covered products look as though the ICE is attempting to circumvent or avoid swaps rules through a simple re-classification of its products, which under certain circumstances may be construed as evasion and would constitute a Dodd-Frank rule violation. However, the ICE swaps-to-futures transition, and concurrent introduction of covered products is likely compliant because the covered products anticipate being cleared through the Section 4d account, which explicitly satisfies the Dodd-Frank rule implementation. That is, although cleared and managed as futures/options, from a segregation perspective, the ICE is treating covered products as swaps together with the enhanced protections.

From an operational perspective, covered products also solve for what would be additional expenditures associated with alternative risk management processing methods. Accordingly, the CFTC Rule 1.73, which sets forth pre-trade risk management requirements, would apply to clearing members that are FCMs, and Section 23.609 would apply to clearing members that are SDs or MSPs. Under the rules, clearing members of a designated clearing organization (DCO) would be required to establish risk-based limits and trade compliance for each account based on position size, order size, margin requirements, and/or similar factors. This means that all participants – even those that are not involved in agency business – need to comply with Rule 1.73, with the requisite technology. Finally, the rule contemplates that only authorized trades within the parameters set will reach the market, providing the member firm is operating within a pre-defined limit schedule.

Although the CFTC has stated that it “envisions that each clearing member will comply with Rule 1.73 using procedures and technology appropriate to its business model and customer base,” by establishing and maintaining systems of risk controls reasonably designed to ensure compliance. However, trade origination complexity exposes many member firms to violations because of the source, method, or structure of the trade. Therefore, the move toward covered products and re-classification provides operational relief to the DCOs customers. This is true because covered products, such as those being introduced by the ICE, contemplate the continued use of an industry-standard pre-trade risk management and position monitoring system providing high-capacity control across multiple markets and products. Although the CFTC does not prescribe the manner of risk limits, it envisions member-based filters and configurations that can be set either to auto-reject orders or to notify the trader with an alert which may be adjusted to a particular market or product.

More significantly, the introduction of covered products and re-classification is a foreseeable trend, as other clearinghouses will likely provide similar relief and innovation. In fact, CFTC Commissioner Scott O’Malia said “the decision by ICE to speed up the transition of its cleared OTC energy contracts to futures reflects regulatory uncertainty, and is likely to be replicated by other exchanges.” The ICE has likely moved to modify its rulebook and re-classify its swaps contracts because market participants have expressed concerns about issues ranging from increased collateral demands, gross margin netting burdens, and inflationary trade costs, as functionally disruptive to the current state of clearing and trading activities.

Specifically, beginning on November 8, gross margin rules require that initial margin should be determined with respect to each customer position on the same basis that the clearinghouse would determine margin on the account of an FCM, thereby requiring market participants to hold these related positions in separate accounts with separate margin requirements. Therefore, the ICE seeks to preempt collateral demand changes and inflationary trade costs by introducing the covered product.

Additionally, and consistent with this trend, the CME Group is rolling out a new product called “swap futures,” in mid-November. In addition to independent trading viability, swap futures are intended to provide ancillary support to privately negotiated swaps that may trade off-facility, or possibly on affirmation platforms such as swap execution facilities (SEFs). Like the ICE’s covered product, the CME’s swap futures are hybrid instruments and seek to reduce initial margin costs by calculating on a portfolio or netted basis rather than the gross basis under the new rules. Also, swap futures are standardized to account for position limit scheduling and pre-trade monitoring on a multi-dimension level – including market, desk and individual client, as required by the rules, and without any additional risk management processing configuration.

Swap futures and covered products introduced by the world’s futures exchanges contemplate economic and structural innovation through products that are compliant, efficient and able to leverage industry-standard pre-trade risk management and position monitoring systems. As Dodd-Frank continues to drive change, it looks like this is only the beginning for exchange and clearing innovation.

While you’re here…

head of product management, Front Arena, SunGard's capital markets business

Success in Middle East Trading: Keeping it Simple

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At the recent SunGard Dubai City Day, panelists at the session entitled “Leading from the Front: the Ever-changing Capital Markets Arena” had a very interesting discussion about how institutions, particularly those in the Middle East, can compete in times of rapid global regulatory and technological change.

New regulations, such as Dodd-Frank in the U.S. and MiFID II Europe, are focused on systemic risk and transparency. However, in the Middle East, systemic risks are typically well-contained and transparency almost entirely refers to OTC instruments which are not prevalent in the region. Consequently, the new regulations in other regions will have minimal impact in the Middle East.

It was noted that there are differences between regional consumption models: the U.S. has largely financed consumption with debt, European consumption has been mostly savings-financed and China appears to be growth-financed.

In contrast, the Middle East, rich in both natural resources and cash, has financed little of its consumption with debt. There has been discussion of the idea that the region should combine different consumption models, financing with a mixture of debt, savings and growth. There was a belief that the choice of the correct model will ensure a lower level of regulation compared to other countries.

There is a broad, ongoing discussion about regulation in the Middle East markets. The panelists emphasized the importance of balance and pointed to a concern over “regulatory inconsistency across the region.” But there are also more upbeat perspectives on the regulatory landscape: unlike more developed regions where participants from all sectors are seeing increased regulation as a potential business impediment, the Middle East is seeing its markets opening up.

In the last two years alone, Qatar, for example, has received approval for a DvP (delivery vs. payment) mechanism, stock lending, market-making, DMA (direct market access), ETFs (exchange-traded funds), bills, new indices, new order types, and closing auctions.

That said, technology must keep pace with so much rapid change, and it seems clear today that dedicated systems for market-making and securities lending are imperative. Further, the increasing breadth of products, models and regulations requires consolidation of systems and data sources to provide clear insight into risks.

Indeed, with an expectation of a take-off in DMA, some foresee a time when a minority of flow will go through broker order management systems: technology vendors must “supply tools to calculate and assess the risk that comes along with these new trades.”

The core message we heard in Dubai was the importance of “going back to basics.” Simplified and standardized regulation and processes coupled with “accurate, reliable and comparable data” is fundamental to the path forward for trading in the Middle East.

global head of connectivity, SunGard’s global trading business

Trading in the Middle East: Turning a Corner?

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At SunGard’s Dubai City Day, a panel looked at trading opportunities and challenges in the Middle East. Panel members started with the bad news first: due to regulatory constraints, the region’s exchanges remain largely domestic monopolies, with very little competition for listings, no high-frequency trading and no CCP. Add to this the constraint of settlement caps, the large retail focus of most exchanges, different working weeks and settlement models – all deterrents to the generation of regional liquidity abound, probably explaining the minimal foreign participation in the markets until very recently.

Trading in the region will eventually become more attractive and accessible to overseas investors, but the panelists in Dubai implied that regulators were understandably quite cautious at present. Of more concern was the diversity of regulatory regimes throughout the region.

It was suggested that the lack of drive to unify some of the basic rules could in part be due to a desire to preserve each exchange’s local dominance, but a lack of competition for flow and listings constrains liquidity movement and foreign participation throughout the region. As case in point, Saudi Arabia for example simply bars foreign ownership; currently, foreigners can only trade Saudi stocks through funds or swap structures.

Panelists indicated that in Saudi Arabia, the market has experienced a doubling of volumes over the first half of 2012, driven by local investors with a strong domestic focus in an economy growing at more than 5 percent per year.* The domesticity and retail-oriented focus of the Saudi market – an amazing 93 percent of trading volumes are said to be retail-generated – gives it a different character from international markets, where retail volumes can be more erratic. Conversely, the Egyptian market was said to be dominated by institutional volumes. In Qatar, the focus is on attracting both domestic flows – particularly from the expat client base that may not have been aware that participation was possible – and increased participation from GCC institutions rather than directly reaching international investors.

The difference in settlement structures and models is also naturally becoming a point of concern, especially for investors looking across different regional exchanges. For example, while Saudi is at T+0, other GCC countries operate in a T+2 environment.

Turning to connectivity, the panel looked at the GCC exchanges’ capacity to absorb a sudden influx of high-frequency external order flow. The panel’s answer was a qualified yes for the future, but not anytime soon. The implementation of new trading engines and the adoption of industry-standard trading protocols probably explain that enthusiasm. Attention was also given to the technical connectivity methods themselves: with more fiber-optic cables being laid and a greater belief in Internet security, panelists proposed that direct market access over VPN (virtual private network) could become a viable method in the region.

On the panel, there was a clear view that the Middle East needs new products to drive liquidity to its capital markets, besides the requirement to improve infrastructure and the need to provide market participants an experience similar to “Western” standards, through changes to the markets’ structure, such as market-making, full delivery vs. payment, etc.

There is no doubt that the region’s regulators and market operators are, in a carefully considered way, adopting policies conducive to market expansion, the narrowing of spreads, and the provision of liquidity. We may be getting closer to the day when Middle East equity markets become venues for international investment.

*Sources AMF & WFE